1. Virginia: No Change. There is just nothing more to say here than Mark Warner gave a very senatorial speech last night.

2. New Mexico: Pearce has stronger Republican backing which was reflected in recent polling. Too little too late, it's in the bag.

3. Alaska: This one moves up from fifth place. Stevens was already in enough trouble prior to the indictment, but now he's doomed. Now that he won the primary, neither exoneration nor removal form the ballot can save the Republicans now.

4. New Hampshire: No change. Shaheen's continued strong showing in polls tells me there is a deep dissatisfaction with Sununu that goes beyond the Republican brand. I'm not sure even McCain can save him now.

5. Colorado: Previously third. Even though Shaffer seems to be on his feet now, the only reason that this race dropped is the fact that Republicans grew so much weaker in Alaska and New Hampshire. Colorado will be hard fought on all levels, but Mark Udall remains the favorite.

6. Oregon: No change. The fact that Gordon Smith has attached himself so closely to Obama tell me that his polling is showing a very strong blue trend. Will he be washed out? Stay tuned.
Minnesota: Al Franken is showing signs of life. He's pounding away on Norm Coleman and it's taking effect.

7. North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole is showing the political community that she has a glass jaw. Never before in her life did she have to fight for anything and got by against a weak opponent in 2002. Kay Hagan is no wilting flower and the DSCC is putting up the cash to back her up.

8. Mississppi B: What does it say about this year when the top 9 seats on my list are true pickup opportunities for us? Republicans are fighting deep in red territory now and even though Musgrove has faded a bit, this one is going right down to the wire.

9. Kentucky: McCaonnell knows he is in for a race.

After looking over these seats, I am now revising my projection to a net gain of 6-8 seats.